Showing posts with label 5 Year Plan. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 5 Year Plan. Show all posts

Thursday, April 3, 2014

Seeking Alpha Article - Hewlett-Packard's Turnaround: The Devil's Advocate

Seeking Alpha posted an article this morning titled "Hewlett-Packard's Turnaround: The Devil's Advocate", explaining why Meg Whitman's projected turnaround is "still some way off".

This is the same sentiment we saw in the Yahoo finance article on HP a few weeks ago.

The article takes note of some issues I've discussed already, namely that HP revenues are down in all market segments and any future market share stands a good chance of being eaten up by other major players (Lenovo, Cisco) due to poor executive leadership.

HP's advancement relies heavily on having innovative leaders at the helm who can see and create the opportunities for the company to compete for market share and lead in a market segment - Whitman isn't it.

Some clips from the article:


"The turnaround is still some way off

While HP is still generating a healthy cash flow, there is concern over its revenue streams and shrinking margins in PC and other hardware sales, as confirmed in the negative growth in the Personal Systems, Enterprise Group and Enterprise Services business segments. This is unlikely to change in the near future due to decreasing margins and increasing competition.

Worldwide revenues for hardware sales are decreasing, as can be seen in the following table, which shows how all server vendors are affected. Computer hardware margins are razor-thin and expected to decrease further as the IT hardware industry becomes more and more commoditized. Furthermore, Lenovo entering the server market poses a threat to HP's server sales. If Lenovo's performance with PCs is repeated in the server arena, HP's revenue is in danger of falling further."




"HP's share price is being propped high by stock buybacks and by high expectations for its 3D printing venture, but it does not hide the obvious long-term adverse impact of one particular item in the income statement, the unimpressive revenue figures.In my opinion, a PE of around 11 is entirely justified, but I fear there is more to go on the downward trend before the expected turnaround. This is a company that is shrinking, not expanding, and has to do more shrinking for some time to come."


Tuesday, March 25, 2014

Article on Yahoo! Finance: Whitman stabilized HP but real growth still looks far off

I saw an article this afternoon posted on Yahoo! Finance titled "Whitman stabilized HP but real growth still looks far off".

Yaho Finance Article

The article touches on some key points, namely that even with the recent 3D printing foray announcement, there is nothing in her history which has instilled trust that it will actually come to pass.

In fact, there has not been one major announcement projecting growth that has happened. 

The author states, "In 2012, she was talking up amazing tablets that would storm the corporate market. And early in 2013, a new server technology dubbed Project Moonshot was all the rage. Neither has led to much revenue for HP yet, however".  


The article also discusses the botched Autonomy acquisition still casting a shadow.

It wraps up with a point I've stressed in this blog, being "Wall Street has already rewarded Whitman for Saving HP from oblivion. Now the question is whether she can move it forward".  

The answer is simply, no. She does not have the experience or the vision necessary to propel HP forward into a place of being able to compete, much less create and propel forward. 





Wednesday, March 19, 2014

Meg Whitman's 5 Year HP Turnaround? Way Too Little, Way Too Late

The Empress Wears No Clothes!

HP is slowly but steadily going out of business.

In 2010, HP was a $120B business. Current management estimates that in 2016, it will be a $106B business.

That's down 11.6% to the tune of a $14B loss!

This disaster is not an "if", it's a "when".

Note the graph below (Source: Company Filings, Public Information)





















9.30.10 - Leo Apotheker hired as CEO. Ray Lane hired as Chairman.
9.22.11 - Leo Apotheker fired as CEO, replaced by Meg Whitman. No official CEO search is conducted.
10.11 - HP cancels PC spin-off.
5.17.12 - HP announces plans to cut workforce by 30,000 employees.
11.20.12 - 4Q12 results released. $8.8B Autonomy goodwill and intangible asset impairment charge.
8.21.13 - Reports larger than anticipated slide in revenue. Announces that revenue growth in FY14 unlikely, backtracking on previous guidance for return to growth in FY14.

How is this projecting growth potential for HP? The short answer: it isn't.